Wednesday, June 10, 2026PROPHET 9Sign in · Subscribe

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The record · public since day one

Every call we’ll make. Including the wrong ones.

A projection service that hides its misses isn’t a projection service — it’s marketing. This page is permanent, public, and updated the morning each call’s window resolves. The ledger opened with the board’s first edition — every call lands here the day it’s published, and resolves on schedule, never re-graded.

164

calls published

windows resolved yet

Jul 09

first windows resolve

100%

of calls published

Calibration, bin by bin

A projection is only honest if its confidence means something. When we say 70%, it should happen about 70% of the time — here is how our stated confidence has matched reality, bin by bin.

The first 30-day windows resolve in July — the bins publish then, whatever they say.

Stated confidence vs. what happenedpublished whatever it says

Confidence binStatedObservedStated vs observedn

Accumulating. Every published call carries a stated probability; this table compares those statements with reality, bin by bin, once windows resolve. The first 30-day windows close on Jul 09 — the bins publish that morning, whatever they say.

Gray bar = what we said · tobacco bar = what happened. Honest calibration means they sit on top of each other.

The ledger — every call, in ordermisses carry equal weight · pending calls shown

DatePlayerCallResolutionResult

Jun 10Lane Thomas▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Adolis García▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Jarren Duran▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Junior Caminero▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Marcell Ozuna▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Tyler O'Neill▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Luisangel Acuña▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Joey Cantillo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Anthony Kay▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Robert Gasser▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Anthony Bender▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Tony Santillan▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Wilber Dotel▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 10Matt Svanson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 10Open

Jun 09JJ Wetherholt▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Harrison Bader▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jackson Merrill▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jo Adell▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Luis García▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Pedro Pagés▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Joc Pederson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jeremiah Jackson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Gabriel Moreno▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Manny Machado▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sal Frelick▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Vaughn Grissom▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Isaac Collins▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Danny Jansen▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Nolan Gorman▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Heriberto Hernandez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Masataka Yoshida▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Nasim Nuñez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Matt Vierling▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Donovan Walton▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Trent Grisham▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jhostynxon Garcia▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Luis Torrens▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Geraldo Perdomo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Cedric Mullins▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Alec Bohm▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Salvador Perez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Steven Kwan▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09J.T. Realmuto▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Lawrence Butler▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jesús Sánchez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Bryson Stott▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Victor Caratini▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sterlin Thompson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Joey Ortiz▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Coby Mayo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Logan O'Hoppe▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Austin Wells▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Caleb Durbin▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Patrick Bailey▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Dylan Crews▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Edgar Quero▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Bo Bichette▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Will Smith▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Luis Rengifo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Mookie Betts▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Lourdes Gurriel▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Leo Jimenez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Henry Davis▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Ha-Seong Kim▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Andre Pallante▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Janson Junk▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jameson Taillon▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Framber Valdez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Cade Cavalli▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Kyle Leahy▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09MacKenzie Gore▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Zac Gallen▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Trevor McDonald▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Dylan Cease▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sean Burke▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Matthew Liberatore▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jacob deGrom▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Slade Cecconi▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Merrill Kelly▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sandy Alcantara▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jesús Luzardo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Ryne Nelson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Reid Detmers▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Gavin Williams▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Tatsuya Imai▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Kai-Wei Teng▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Emmet Sheehan▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Nathan Eovaldi▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Taj Bradley▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Braxton Ashcraft▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Zack Littell▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09George Kirby▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Griffin Canning▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Luis Severino▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jack Flaherty▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Mike Burrows▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Bryan Woo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Dustin May▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Trevor Rogers▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Nick Lodolo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Aaron Nola▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Tyler Mahle▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Roki Sasaki▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Luis Castillo▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Connor Prielipp▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Eury Pérez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Brandon Sproat▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Bubba Chandler▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jack Kochanowicz▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Kyle Freeland▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Grayson Rodriguez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Andrew Painter▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Michael Lorenzen▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Chris Paddack▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Reynaldo López▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Eli Morgan▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Andrew Nardi▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Brent Suter▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Casey Legumina▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Hunter Gaddis▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jonathan Bowlan▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Cody Bolton▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Camilo Doval▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Anthony Nunez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Juan Mejia▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Ian Seymour▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Drew Anderson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Keegan Thompson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Mark Leiter▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Erick Fedde▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Ryan Watson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sean Manaea▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Dennis Santana▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jonathan Hernández▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Grant Taylor▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Cade Smith▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Sam Bachman▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Andrés Muñoz▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Kirby Yates▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Adrian Morejon▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Lucas Erceg▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Will Vest▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Phil Maton▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Paul Sewald▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09José Suarez▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Jeff Hoffman▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Steven Cruz▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Brandon Leibrandt▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Cade Gibson▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Mitchell Parker▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Alex Hoppe▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Bryan Abreu▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Tanner Gordon▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Tanner Banks▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Pete Fairbanks▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Keegan Akin▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Will Dion▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Devin Williams▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Zach Agnos▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Alek Manoah▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Travis Adams▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Justin Slaten▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Trevor Megill▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

Jun 09Tristan Beck▲ Breakoutin window — resolves Jul 09Open

A call resolves when its stated window closes — never earlier, never re-graded. The threshold for a hit is fixed before the call is published.

This page is the product’s spine.

If the record stops being good, you’ll see it here first — that’s the deal.

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