Tyler O'Neill

OF · Bats R · Age 30 · Baltimore · as of June 11, 2026

Underlying

Surface

▲ Strong Breakout candidate · gap -14

Engine: Consensus · carries across views · refreshed nightly

Expected vs. actual — all targets

Viewing: Consensus

AVG · expected level—

.238now .177

——80%

No divergence — holding established pace

OBP · expected level▼

.300now .279

——80%

SLG · expected level▼

.409now .265

——80%

OPS · expected level—

.710now .544

——80%

No divergence — holding established pace

HR · full season▲

12now 2

——80%

R · full season▲

39now 14

——80%

RBI · full season▲

43now 8

——80%

SB · full season▲

3now 1

——80%

Where the engines disagree

At season grain the engines currently read him identically; tonight's game-level panel below carries their live disagreement, target by target.

Tonight, game by gameTonight vs Seattle · 7:00 PM ET · projected lineup

TargetExpected80% intervalProbabilitiesPSCF

Hits0.680.002.00P(1+ H) 44% · P(2+ H) 17%0.720.64

HR0.100.000.00P(HR) 5%0.070.12

Total bases1.250.004.00P(2+ TB) 29%1.431.06

Runs0.340.001.32P(R) 17%0.280.39

RBI0.330.001.32P(RBI) 15%0.270.40

SB0.050.000.00P(SB) 5%0.050.06

Per-game posteriors from the nightly inference run — expectations with calibrated 80% intervals; engine columns carry each reader's own game-level posterior.