Gabriel Moreno

C · Bats R · Age 26 · Arizona · as of June 11, 2026

Underlying

Surface

▲ Emerging Breakout candidate · gap +4

Engine: Consensus · carries across views · refreshed nightly

Expected vs. actual — all targets

Viewing: Consensus

AVG · expected level▲

.248now .266

——80%

OBP · expected level▲

.308now .345

——80%

SLG · expected level—

.402now .434

——80%

No divergence — holding established pace

OPS · expected level▲

.709now .779

——80%

HR · full season▼

12now 5

——80%

R · full season▲

44now 22

——80%

RBI · full season▲

41now 22

——80%

SB · full season▲

4now 3

——80%

Where the engines disagree

At season grain the engines currently read him identically; tonight's game-level panel below carries their live disagreement, target by target.

Tonight, game by gameTonight at Miami · 7:00 PM ET · projected lineup

TargetExpected80% intervalProbabilitiesPSCF

Hits0.860.002.00P(1+ H) 52% · P(2+ H) 22%0.930.78

HR0.080.000.00P(HR) 4%0.070.09

Total bases1.410.004.00P(2+ TB) 33%1.641.18

Runs0.380.001.41P(R) 16%0.340.42

RBI0.380.001.41P(RBI) 15%0.360.39

SB0.050.000.00P(SB) 5%0.050.05

Per-game posteriors from the nightly inference run — expectations with calibrated 80% intervals; engine columns carry each reader's own game-level posterior.